TRENDS AND CAUSAL ANALYSIS OF CRIMES OF MURDER AND ATTEMPTED MURDER IN RAIPUR DISTRICT: A LEGAL STUDY (2019–2024)

Abstract

With specific reference to the Raipur district, this study on heinous crimes—such as murder and attempted murder—presents a comprehensive legal and criminological analysis of their trends, geographical distribution, and causative factors during the period spanning 2019 to 2024. The objective of this research is not merely to understand the statistical patterns of crime, but also to identify the social, economic, individual, and institutional factors that influence these offenses. The study relies entirely on secondary sources—specifically the National Crime Records Bureau, State Crime Records, District Police Reports, and Court Records—and employs a descriptive and analytical research methodology. Key findings clearly indicate that, despite fluctuations in the number of cases during the study period, the occurrence of murder and attempted murder has persisted consistently. The incidence of attempted murder cases was found to be higher than that of actual murders, suggesting that while violent tendencies are widespread, not all incidents result in fatal outcomes. Crimes were found to be significantly more prevalent in urban areas, whereas relatively fewer incidents were recorded in rural regions. A gender-based analysis revealed an overwhelming involvement of male accused persons (85–90%), while the involvement of women was found to be limited, yet driven by specific circumstantial factors. Consequently, the study concludes that punitive measures alone are insufficient for the effective prevention of homicidal crimes; rather, a coordinated and multi-dimensional policy intervention at the social, economic, and institutional levels is required. This research offers valuable insights for legal policymakers, administrative authorities, and the academic community.